Pinning hopes on tourism | eKathimerini.com

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Pinning hopes on tourism

Folks sit on at a seashore in Kokkari , in entrance of a tavern on the jap Aegean island of Samos, in a file photograph. [AP]

The federal government is banking on this summer time’s tourism for Greece to flee the danger of recession different nations in Europe are going through, and subsequently save residents’ incomes with out having to delve deeper into the general public coffers for brand new help measures.

The main focus of consideration is the gap of over 7 billion euros between final yr’s tourism takings of €11 billion and the file stage of €18.2 billion in 2019; if Greece manages to cowl that distance this yr the economic system could have a passable yr regardless of all the pieces, with the expansion price at 3% in keeping with the nation’s midterm fiscal plan.

Thus far indications in that course have been very constructive: Even when arrivals are under these of 2019, inflation and high quality upgrades could properly take revenues as much as par with these of three years in the past, economists estimate.

That might see the nationwide economic system outperform the eurozone common, as analysts solely see Greece and Italy preserving their progress price because of tourism. They do warn, nonetheless, {that a} new shock within the fall – that can not be dominated out – would render financial situations very troublesome as Greece is already seen on the restrict. There may be such uncertainty that no one could make any protected forecasts, as projections preserve being revised.

Many banks and funding companies now communicate of a attainable recession towards end-2022 or in 2023, whereas the European Fee has added two adversarial situations to its forecasts for the European economic system. If that had been to materialize, Greece would additionally face the influence, if at some delay: Tourism won’t resist for ever and if, for instance, Germany goes into recession, German vacationers won’t go to Greece, resulting in a brand new cycle of decline.

Apart from tourism, the federal government is pinning its hopes on the Restoration and Resilience Fund sources, which can properly maintain the economic system this yr.

Finance Minister Christos Staikouras and his alternate, Thodoros Skylakakis, preserve repeating that for now the fiscal area has been exhausted, however do depart a window of hope open in case some leeway is created that might be utilized for supplying extra help to the economic system.





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